The Group A Super 8 scenarios T20 World Cup 2026 will be an interesting contest to keep an eye out for with arch-rivals India and Pakistan pitted in the same Group. The Group A Super 8 qualification chances also include the other teams – Namibia, Netherlands and USA.
India and Pakistan are favourites in Group A qualification scenarios T20 World Cup 2026 but the lower-ranked teams can also spring a surprise like USA did by defeating Pakistan in the group stages of the previous edition of the T20 World Cup.
Let’s explore the T20 World Cup 2026 Group A qualification scenarios in details below.
Last updated on February 7, 2026
| Pos | Team | Played | Won | Lost | N/R | NRR | Points |
| 1 | Pakistan | 2 | 2 | 0 | – | +0.932 | 4 |
| 2 | India | 1 | 1 | 0 | – | +1.450 | 2 |
| 3 | Netherlands | 2 | 1 | 1 | – | +0.356 | 2 |
| 4 | Namibia | 1 | 0 | 1 | – | -1.033 | 0 |
| 5 | USA | 2 | 0 | 2 | – | -1.525 | 0 |
Talking about Group A points required to qualify for Super 8 without depending on the results of other teams will be to win at least three games and acquire six points.
Group A qualification scenarios after today match, India are favourites to go through as the table toppers with Pakistan also having won two in two.
Find out Group A Super 8 scenarios T20 World Cup 2026 and which teams have the edge.
Speaking about how can India qualify for Super 8 from Group A – they are the favourites and are expected to win all their games. In such a case, the Men in Blue will finish with eight points and qualify as table toppers in the T20 World Cup 2026 Group A qualification scenarios. They have already started off on a winning note with a win against USA in the opener.
Check detailed India qualification chances
The Group A Super 8 qualification chances for Pakistan will be good after their win against USA in Colombo. Now what does Pakistan need to qualify from Group A? The Salman Ali Agha-led side will are in a pretty strong position, and a win over either India, or Namibia should see them through.
Pakistan Super 8 Qualification chances explained
Realistically speaking, the Dutch will find it extremely difficult to advance in the tournamnent. Answering can Netherlands qualify for Super 8 stage – they are currently in the second place after losing to Pakistan and winning against Namibia and will need to win their remaining two games to secure qualification. In a bid to do so, they will have to defeat India which will be an uphill task. However, a win against USA would still keep them mathematically in contention with their faite depended on other outcomes.
Like Netherlands, the answer to can Namibia qualify for Super 8 stage will depend on their results against the group heavyweights India and Pakistan after their loss to Netherlands in their tournament opener. Ideally three wins in three games to confirm Super 8s or two wins to remain alive in contention.
USA had shocked Pakistan in the last T20 World Cup to advance to the Super 8s, but they failed to repeat the same, which would answer what does USA need to qualify for Super 8. They will now need wins over Namibia and Netherlands to progress further, with a good run-rate. They will also need to hope that either or India or Pakistan falter on the way.
India currently have the best NRR (+1.450) after a convincing win over USA. Pakistan too have a positive run-rate of 0.932 after their win against USA. Speaking about tie-breakers, if a match finishes in a tie – Super Over will be played and if the Super Over is a tie, subsequent Super Overs will be played until there is a winner.
Furthermore, if a match gets washed out due to poor weather, then both teams will get one point each. In case two teams finish the group with equal points, then the position will be decided on the basis of net run rate (NRR).
Another doubt remains with what will be the walkover points Super 8 qualification if Pakistan do not play India. According to ICC rules, Pakistan’s NRR will take a big hit since if a team forfeits a match, it will treated as full 20 overs. Those overs count towards the team’s average runs per over for the entire tournament, which can significantly lower the NRR.
With uncertainty over teams facing each other and also weather playing spoilsport, can a team qualify with 4 points Group A – The short answer is yes but their fortunes will be dependent on the outcome of the other fixtures.
India are the favourites from Group A and they are expected to win all their fixtures.
Pakistan need a victory against either Namibia or the Netherlands.
Netherlands will have to defeat Namibia and USA while staging a surprise win against India or Pakistan.
Namibia will have to defeat Netherlands and USA while scripting a surprise win against India or Pakistan.
USA will have to defeat Netherlands and Namibia by a big margin, and hope for either India or Pakistan to falter.
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